Sunday, February 6, 2011

Go For It!

The Super Bowl is over and the offseason has officially begun. During the offseason, I will talk about general NFL topics not just the Giants, even though most topics will be centered around Big Blue. Congratulations to the  Super Bowl XLV champs, the Green Bay Packers. However, that is not the purpose of this post.

I was scratching my head at the end of the game. It's 4th and goal at the 5-yard line, the Packers have the ball and they are up 28-25 with just 2:10 to play. Conventional wisdom would say to take the points, but I don't think that is the right call there. Granted they won anyway, so it's a moot point. You might think I'm crazy, but I think you have to go for it there. You kick a field goal and what's the best thing that can happen? You're up 6, and you have to give the ball back  to the Steelers, risking a long kickoff return, which the Steelers are certainly capable of. The Steelers would be going fr the endzone here, so being up by 6 might actually be worse than being up by 3, since when a team is down by 3 they are just thinking about scoring a field goal and forcing overtime. A touchdown wins the game right here.

What happens if you go for it? The Packers have arguably the best quarterback in the NFL, so you could trust him. If you go for it, the worst case scenario is you give the ball back to the Steelers on their own 5 yard line with just 2 minutes and one timeout left. Actually the worst thing that could happen is the Steelers could run it back for a touchdown, but for argument's sake, we'll say that won't happen. With 1 timeout left, the Steelers would have to go about 65-70 yards for a makable field goal. So the worst thing that can happen is you go to overtime, barring a miracle touchdown. We've talked about the worst thing that can happen, but what if the Packers are able to score a touchdown on 4th down? That pretty much ends the game right there. You make the Steelers score 10 points in 2 minutes. While not impossible, that's not going to happen.

Sometimes you just have to throw the book out the window and just do what you think is best. What really made me shake my head is that none of the announcers even mentioned going for it. If you have Aaron Rodgers and the other team has just 1 timeout, you go for the touchdown on 4th down.

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